No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $213k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
whydoineedtodothis took +$25k on No from 65¢; the biggest loser gave up $21k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Gavin Newsom 11% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Marco Rubio 10% | $708k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 36% · Ron DeSantis 11% · John McEntee 4% | $614k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $565k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $505k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68% · Puma Shen 33% | $115k |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 84% · Chris Hipkins 13% | $82k |
| Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? | Labour + Green 14% · Other 1% | $30k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| whydoineedtodothis | No | $25k |
| panitom | No | $5k |
| Mysaria | No | $1k |
| bechamel | No | $490.95 |
| whig | Yes | $465.58 |
| TheBigCheese11 | No | $282.35 |
| 0x8958… | No | $276.18 |
| VeeFriendsDownUnder | No | $275.14 |
| Corlys | No | $132.60 |
| tbarcelo | No | $111.54 |
| ShewasonlyonTRT | No | $80.04 |
| farik18 | No | $66.97 |
158 wallets held a position at the close. The 57 biggest winners took $34k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $31k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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