No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $140k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $109k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $30k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $20k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 70% · 25 bps increase 25% · 25 bps decrease 2% | $19k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 41% · 25 bps decrease 15% | $15k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 93% · No change 9% | $8k |
| Central Bank of Chile decision in December | No change 67% · 25 bps increase 19% · 50+ bps increase 6% | $8k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 12% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| perfectnostalgia | No | $585.33 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $449.32 |
| 0x2132… | Yes | $324.84 |
| GoldmanSachs | No | $276.15 |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF | No | $265.08 |
| Mysaria | No | $244.81 |
| ozgun | Yes | $213.37 |
| merod | No | $184.16 |
| 0x02f1… | No | $180.89 |
| JonTay | No | $169.22 |
| 0x8958… | No | $133.62 |
| 0x0d46… | No | $131.38 |
173 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.