Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $780k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Jdhd38483 took +$6.5k on Yes from 51¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.5k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 31% · $1.5–$1.75T 31% · $1.75–$2.0T 17% | $236k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $62k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $54k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 89% · Anthropic 11% | $50k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $48k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $46k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $25k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $22k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Jdhd38483 | Yes | $7k |
| poweragain | Yes | $2k |
| qwersd | Yes | $2k |
| alexfunfunfun | Yes | $2k |
| TheDowIsOver50Thousand | Yes | $2k |
| Cbb. | Yes | $2k |
| Nasmutin | Yes | $1k |
| 0xb196… | Yes | $1k |
| WizhardofOddz | Yes | $966.07 |
| Yugi-Oh | Yes | $864.54 |
| Cylindrical-Credenza-Sill | Yes | $804.88 |
| Popopolly | Yes | $752.94 |
1,402 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $38k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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