What are the odds for “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $3.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $3.1k, liquidity $892. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$3.1k
Liquidity
$892

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes96100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$45k	$118k	3%
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$14k	$29k	0%
House control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1%	$13k	$43k	-0%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$12k	$21k	0%
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?	$0.75-$1.00 41% · $1.00-$1.25 28%	$10k	$1k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 68% · No 32%	$9k	$4k	16.5%
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026	2.6-2.8% 24% · 3.0%+ 17%	$9k	$3k
Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...?	3-6 points behind 81% · 0-3 points behind 17% · 6-9 points behind 3%	$7k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 1.1¢spread 0.9¢mid 0.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1290.2¢

1.1¢21

250.1¢

1.2¢82

1.9¢50

2¢9

3¢56

5¢42

30¢350

59¢483

68¢24

97¢397

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
RandomWalker3	Yes	993	0¢	$4	−$372.33
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	155			$173k
0x11b2a5	Yes	100	0¢	$0.10	$331.37
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	82			$1k
donthackme	Yes	75			$714k
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	70	4¢	$2.48	$2k
cigarettes	Yes	51			−$73k
.Menthe	Yes	50			$4k
0xa169f8	Yes	24			$7k
2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.	Yes	21			$727.20
0xa5ef39	No	2k			$0

Smart-money conviction · Other

→ all categories · none in Other right now

Smart-money conviction

1Spread: Commanders (-6.5)$100k
2Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$80k
3Chiefs vs. Broncos$69k
4Chargers vs. Rams$47k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$39k
6Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$39k
7Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$49k
8Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$55k
9Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A$33k
10Raptors vs. Lakers$34k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 96 known shares

zeitfi-vault-v2
entry 4¢ · all-time +$1.8k · win 36%
0xa169f8
entry — · all-time +$7.1k · win 44%
Likaseentwhale
entry 100¢ · all-time +$82k · win 29%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $3.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Other · Other · live

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $3.1k, liquidity $892. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$3.1k
Liquidity
$892

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

live

Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes96100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$45k	$118k	3%
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$14k	$29k	0%
House control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1%	$13k	$43k	-0%
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$12k	$21k	0%
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?	$0.75-$1.00 41% · $1.00-$1.25 28%	$10k	$1k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 68% · No 32%	$9k	$4k	16.5%
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026	2.6-2.8% 24% · 3.0%+ 17%	$9k	$3k
Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...?	3-6 points behind 81% · 0-3 points behind 17% · 6-9 points behind 3%	$7k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 1.1¢spread 0.9¢mid 0.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1290.2¢

1.1¢21

250.1¢

1.2¢82

1.9¢50

2¢9

3¢56

5¢42

30¢350

59¢483

68¢24

97¢397

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
RandomWalker3	Yes	993	0¢	$4	−$372.33
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	155			$173k
0x11b2a5	Yes	100	0¢	$0.10	$331.37
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	82			$1k
donthackme	Yes	75			$714k
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	70	4¢	$2.48	$2k
cigarettes	Yes	51			−$73k
.Menthe	Yes	50			$4k
0xa169f8	Yes	24			$7k
2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.	Yes	21			$727.20
0xa5ef39	No	2k			$0

Smart-money conviction · Other

→ all categories · none in Other right now

Smart-money conviction

1Spread: Commanders (-6.5)$100k
2Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$80k
3Chiefs vs. Broncos$69k
4Chargers vs. Rams$47k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$39k
6Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$39k
7Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$49k
8Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$55k
9Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A$33k
10Raptors vs. Lakers$34k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 96 known shares

zeitfi-vault-v2
entry 4¢ · all-time +$1.8k · win 36%
0xa169f8
entry — · all-time +$7.1k · win 44%
Likaseentwhale
entry 100¢ · all-time +$82k · win 29%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $3.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will October 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.