No 60% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢). Volume $6.7k, liquidity $661. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $19k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 64% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 10% | $11k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 31% · November 10 23% · No release by November 30 10% | $7k |
| Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November? | MiniMax 51% · Google 44% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | Yes | 310 |
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 176 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 167 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 100 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 72 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 70 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 62 |
| youyizhiguangg | Yes | 40 |
| balthazar | Yes | 40 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 33 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 882 |
| lissartter | No | 60 |
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