No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 99¢). Volume $9.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 71% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $35k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $30k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 65% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 23–November 29 8% | $27k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 39% · November 11 27% · No release by November 30 10% | $12k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 59% · November 16–November 22 15% · November 9–November 15 13% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 21% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| molodoyy | No | $168.38 |
| SingletonFamilyFund | No | $89.60 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $39.75 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | No | $26.91 |
| johnthek | No | $22.72 |
| 75usdc | No | $18.40 |
| PERP-RFQ | No | $13.64 |
| 0x652b… | No | $10.43 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | $9.36 |
| 0xe8c4… | No | $8.36 |
| Mysaria | No | $7.91 |
| SebW | No | $6.01 |
39 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $454; the 10 biggest losers gave up $130. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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