No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $8.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 4% | $46k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 73% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 4% | $42k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 44% · November 10 23% · November 9 4% | $28k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 6 34% · November 5 17% · November 10 13% | $28k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 81% · November 16–November 22 11% | $15k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $12k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SingletonFamilyFund | No | $27.52 |
| Mysaria | No | $22.25 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $9.30 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | $5.13 |
| boofa | No | $4.63 |
| huy67 | No | $4.08 |
| LonelyScissors | No | $2.10 |
| 0xf5f4… | No | $1.92 |
| 0x4056… | No | $1.57 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $1.45 |
| 0xe8c4… | No | $1.36 |
| 0x0fc6… | No | $1.14 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $84; the 16 biggest losers gave up $104. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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