Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

No 61% · Yes 40%. Volume $3.3k, liquidity $270. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO? →

No
61%
Yes
40%
Volume
$3.3k
Liquidity
$270

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

60.5%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes10796%
No54%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 56% · Anthropic 44% · OpenAI 1%	$96k	$204k
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$35k	$121k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 25% · November 19 19% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 17%	$26k	$38k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$25k	$49k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$25k	$41k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$24k	$50k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$19k	$78k
In which month will Anthropic IPO?	December 2026 10% · January 2027 2% · July 2027 1%	$16k	$27k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 34¢ask 45¢spread 11¢mid 39.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

634¢

45¢136

3833¢

46¢16

922¢

47¢84

8020¢

49¢5

13019¢

72¢40

2011¢

73¢140

510¢

84¢30

90¢6

91¢15

92¢78

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
Haradwaith	Yes	100	−$421k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	100	−$100k
lolzzzlol	Yes	100	−$99k
NotJump	Yes	100	−$16k
trader-05ddbe2e	Yes	97	$3k
LornaPredicts	Yes	24	$15k
liq2	Yes	20	$11k
0xbb82…e686	Yes	12	−$2.84
coldhot	Yes	10	$2k
mustbethewater	Yes	8	$72k
0xa5ef39	No	498	$0
Dr.PNL	No	67	−$500k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$16k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$4k
4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?$2k
6Anthropic IPO before 2027?$3k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?$848.23
9Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$581.14
10Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?$327.50

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 61% · Yes 40%, on $3.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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