What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?

No 88% · Yes 12%, on $1.9k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

No 88% · Yes 12%. Volume $1.9k, liquidity $1.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
88%
Yes
12%
Volume
$1.9k
Liquidity
$1.2k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 5 known shares

aHjCzwhale
entry — · all-time +$1.0M · win 45%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 88% · Yes 12%, on $1.9k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

live

Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

88.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes5100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 22% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$140k	$210k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$33k	$40k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 24% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 22% · November 19 20%	$32k	$35k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0%	$23k	$187k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$23k	$68k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 54% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 0%	$18k	$265k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$13k	$54k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$12k	$63k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.7¢ask 22¢spread 20¢mid 12¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1061.7¢

22¢25

1000.7¢

22¢26

1670.6¢

59¢17

3500.2¢

59¢8

3.8k0.1¢

59¢497

67¢25

67¢8

90¢6

90¢250

91¢847

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
K80PRO	Yes	220	−$4k
trader-05ddbe2e	Yes	105	$3k
LornaPredicts	Yes	95	$15k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	79	$193k
Dr.PNL	Yes	26	−$500k
lolzzzlol	Yes	21	−$99k
liq2	Yes	20	$11k
theldentity	Yes	10	−$150.13
coldhot	Yes	10	$2k
62sfds	Yes	8	−$13.86
0xa5ef39	No	498	$0
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b	No	106	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$11k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$7k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2k
5Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
8Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
9Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
10Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948