Yes won. Volume $301k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $29k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 55% · Anthropic 36% · OpenAI 5% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 57% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 11% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 18% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $6k |
| Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November? | MiniMax 48% · Google 47% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JokerTheClown | Yes | $5k |
| yugiohh | Yes | $4k |
| rewardbots | Yes | $3k |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | Yes | $3k |
| outcomes | Yes | $2k |
| JokerTheClown | No | $2k |
| 0xafde… | Yes | $2k |
| 0x955c… | Yes | $2k |
| thanksmom | Yes | $1k |
| Bmwgal | Yes | $1k |
| melonmanm | Yes | $1k |
| Raskell | Yes | $1k |
304 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $39k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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