No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
halulula took +$222 on No from 89¢; the biggest loser gave up $64.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $12k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| halulula | No | $222.35 |
| rewardbots | No | $150.07 |
| Retippppaksksk | No | $59.91 |
| retardio420 | No | $21.37 |
| gekko123456 | No | $18.79 |
| FPTest | No | $12.02 |
| WLeodus | No | $11.87 |
| 0x34a9… | No | $8.19 |
| PABLOESCOBAR25 | No | $7.83 |
| DrShredz | No | $7.48 |
| 0xdb6e… | No | $5.99 |
| 0x608e… | No | $5.68 |
86 wallets held a position at the close. The 56 biggest winners took $603; the 30 biggest losers gave up $254. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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