Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Contentious-Dinnerdate took +$125 on Yes from 76¢; the biggest loser gave up $385.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $12k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $125.05 |
| 0x84dc… | Yes | $59.24 |
| 0x652b… | Yes | $41.59 |
| cacacac | Yes | $38.57 |
| Dima79 | Yes | $23.28 |
| hokinado | Yes | $22.10 |
| 0x1ef0… | Yes | $12.75 |
| misha-d1 | Yes | $12.37 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | $3.46 |
| DrNee | Yes | $3.38 |
| cocojamba1337 | Yes | $2.92 |
| big-bird1 | Yes | $2.75 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $355; the 20 biggest losers gave up $584. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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