Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $136k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 56% · Anthropic 43% · OpenAI 1% | $96k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 32% · $1.5–$1.75T 21% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% | $35k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 25% · November 19 19% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 17% | $26k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $25k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $25k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $24k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $19k |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? | December 2026 10% · January 2027 2% · July 2027 1% | $16k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Yes | $1k |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $860.02 |
| jpurd17 | Yes | $849.20 |
| 0xf019… | Yes | $755.11 |
| badbias | Yes | $621.51 |
| rewardbots | Yes | $449.99 |
| 0x2e1c… | Yes | $421.36 |
| 0xf96f… | No | $352.53 |
| falaffel3 | Yes | $260.62 |
| SuperTests | Yes | $203.82 |
| 0x8286… | Yes | $186.75 |
| aiwar | Yes | $160.08 |
279 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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