What are the odds for “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $24k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?”?

Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 95¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 95¢). Volume $24k, liquidity $6.8k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$6.8k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 2,478 known shares

DualDelta
entry 5¢ · all-time +$45k · win 44%
hithitfar
entry 5¢ · all-time +$18k · win 58%

No

1 wallets · 2,000 known shares

phdcapitalwhale
entry 95¢ · all-time +$59k · win 94%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $24k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 95¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

live

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes2k55%
No2k45%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$97k	$193k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 47%	$29k	$72k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$28k	$24k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$45k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$77k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$113k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.1¢ask 3¢spread 1.9¢mid 2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2001.1¢

3¢60

951¢

3.1¢20

2810.8¢

3.2¢70

8050.5¢

4¢10

2.0k0.4¢

5.9¢250

6660.2¢

7¢10

10k0.1¢

8.9¢1.0k

9¢100

14¢1.0k

16¢30

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
DualDelta	Yes	2k	5¢	$128.15	$45k
thecaricature	Yes	270			−$7k
0xd2e3cc	Yes	218	5¢	$2.01	−$21.83
0x19b8…0c6c	Yes	217	2¢	$5.00	−$84.70
Dr.PNL	Yes	110			−$500k
0xc7d0…1f8a	Yes	106			$339k
LornaPredicts	Yes	105			$15k
sdvfwe	Yes	100	5¢	$5	$7k
Biver52	Yes	100			$7k
BSS37	Yes	68			$8k
phdcapital	No	2k	95¢	$2k	$59k
punter90	No	500	95¢	$475	−$1k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948