No 87% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢). Volume $3.8k, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $29k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $20k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 61% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 17% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 435 |
| sand1 | Yes | 186 |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 83 |
| hoodedmonkey | Yes | 70 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | 66 |
| PMWolf | Yes | 61 |
| pppnn | Yes | 58 |
| donthackme | Yes | 50 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 41 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 35 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 1k |
| PPMT | No | 46 |
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