No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $2.9M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Ryxon21 took +$6.4k on No from 78¢; the biggest loser gave up $16k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $660k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Gavin Newsom 7% | $289k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% · Gavin Newsom 10% | $274k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 32% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 15% | $203k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 67% · Puma Shen 34% | $109k |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $71k |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Su Chiao-hui 64% · Lee Shu-chuan 36% | $69k |
| Argentina Presidential Election Winner | Patricia Bullrich 3% · Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 2% · Daniel Hadad 1% | $44k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Ryxon21 | No | $6k |
| lightup001 | No | $2k |
| cowmow | Yes | $2k |
| sleek111211 | Yes | $1k |
| Bikesarethebest | No | $847.44 |
| 0xe891… | No | $601.93 |
| dp.p | Yes | $496.41 |
| 0x59d6… | Yes | $477.18 |
| 0x59d6… | No | $472.12 |
| 0x8f4e… | No | $452.05 |
| 0x90f5… | Yes | $368.72 |
| xihui | No | $333.66 |
1,645 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $51k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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