No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $1.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 57% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 5% | $37k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 2–November 8 12% · November 16–November 22 11% | $31k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 62% · November 11 10% · November 12 9% | $27k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $15k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 52% · November 9–November 15 27% | $6k |
| Third-best AI Lab end of January? | Google 37% · Meta 27% · Anthropic 18% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sunnynotbunny | No | $11.32 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $7.80 |
| NxN | No | $7.70 |
| Olcan | No | $5.76 |
| 0xOTd | No | $3.68 |
| Carabao | No | $3.04 |
| dscascsac | No | $2.96 |
| mountaingreen | Yes | $0.97 |
| hitunfar | Yes | −$12.24 |
| 0x7290… | No | −$11.50 |
| annont | Yes | −$5 |
| Scoopdewhoop | Yes | −$4.37 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $43; the 8 biggest losers gave up $44. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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