Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
seal7 took +$991 on Yes from 30¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.1k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $597k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Gavin Newsom 7% | $295k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% · Gavin Newsom 11% | $295k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 32% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 15% | $282k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 67% · Puma Shen 34% | $110k |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $76k |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Su Chiao-hui 64% · Lee Shu-chuan 37% | $69k |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Democratic 68% · Republican 32% | $22k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| seal7 | Yes | $991.24 |
| bancomaster | Yes | $872.43 |
| 0x0fca… | Yes | $501.45 |
| 0x04fb… | Yes | $447.72 |
| grio4j3232f3e3 | Yes | $380.66 |
| 0xc8b9… | Yes | $337.66 |
| doubetter | Yes | $289.38 |
| BiDiFakePolls | Yes | $200.53 |
| Antony82 | Yes | $135.48 |
| mountaindewd | Yes | $57.00 |
| xdxd88 | Yes | $33.56 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $31.45 |
103 wallets held a position at the close. The 57 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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