What are the odds for “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 97% · Yes 3%, on $2.6M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢). Volume $2.6M, liquidity $102k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$2.6M
Liquidity
$102k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 19,494 known shares

baran-ludomanwhale
entry 38¢ · P&L $91k · win 48%
johnnyA
entry 7¢ · P&L $25k · win 72%
Bertastan
entry 36¢ · P&L $29k · win —
fwed33
entry 24¢ · P&L -$264k · win 50%
bananabreakfast
entry 4¢ · P&L $6.2k · win 50%

No

7 wallets · 19,050 known shares

Talophex

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $2.6M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

live

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

3.2%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Gadi Eizenkot 44% · Benjamin Netanyahu 41% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$11.2M	$960k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$328k	$175k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$179k	$124k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$136k	$137k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 89% · No 11%	$126k	$66k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$108k	$47k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$33k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 82%	$80k	$299k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction