No 59% · Yes 41%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢). Volume $5.9k, liquidity $1.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $804k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $245k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $197k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $196k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $196k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $191k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $171k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MusakaKing | Yes | 521 |
| 0x37fb…0eaf | Yes | 348 |
| -BOB- | Yes | 181 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 130 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 70 |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 50 |
| pppnn | Yes | 50 |
| youyizhiguangg | Yes | 50 |
| 0xd113…09c6 | Yes | 40 |
| VladimirLootin | Yes | 32 |
| Rybkaoi | No | 534 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 232 |
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