No 93% · Yes 8%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 12¢). Volume $400, liquidity $466. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $250k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $204k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $198k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $173k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rexcom | Yes | 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 42 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 30 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 8 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 2 |
| rontro28 | No | 225 |
| roman-16 | No | 38 |
| Raidloner | No | 12 |
| MusakaKing | No | 4 |
| artjockey | No | 3 |
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