No 63% · Yes 38%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢). Volume $4.1k, liquidity $2.6k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
9 ranked wallets bought Yes at 49¢. It’s 38¢ now — −24% on paper.
Track all 9 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $284k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $167k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $137k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $105k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BloodyMummer | Yes | 500 |
| hfv | Yes | 440 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 408 |
| mrkinetiq | Yes | 400 |
| CompulsiveGambler | Yes | 300 |
| rexcom | Yes | 130 |
| Suet-Lam | Yes | 75 |
| EmethN1l2367 | Yes | 50 |
| hinis | Yes | 50 |
| leadernew | Yes | 40 |
| A1VENGO | No | 915 |
| 0xb943…9bbe | No | 594 |
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