Who is the smart money on “Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?

No 81% · Yes 19%. Volume $10k, liquidity $26k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
81%
Yes
19%
Volume
$10k
Liquidity
$26k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 420 known shares

v1notlost
entry 18¢ · P&L -$3.4k · win 43%

No

0 wallets · 0 known shares

More Geopolitics markets

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 96% · No 5% · 24h volume $290k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 97% · No 3% · 24h volume $247k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes 99% · No 2% · 24h volume $157k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes 91% · No 10% · 24h volume $109k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 66% · No 34% · 24h volume $82k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 82% · Yes 19% · 24h volume $81k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 81% · Yes 19%, on $10k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?

live

Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

19%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 5%	$262k	$158k	0.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$248k	$234k	3.6%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$157k	$67k	1.9%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$109k	$69k	0%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$82k	$31k	0.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$79k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 52% · No 49%	$57k	$77k	-2.5%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 72% · No 28%	$56k	$63k	-1.5%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction