No won. Volume $144k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
tomhardy1 took +$114 on No from 100¢; the biggest loser gave up $10.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 37% · $1.5–$1.75T 26% · $1.75–$2.0T 16% | $202k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $64k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $63k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $48k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88% · Anthropic 11% | $46k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $29k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $25k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tomhardy1 | No | $114.20 |
| Mysaria | No | $4.22 |
| merod | No | $1.98 |
| BobInvestments | No | $1.25 |
| CheChe-2 | No | $0.66 |
| HUSAM-ABU | Yes | −$10 |
| BADBOY3 | Yes | −$5.20 |
| 0xe897… | Yes | −$2.16 |
| nova.super | Yes | −$1 |
| cc345 | No | −$0.57 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $122; the 5 biggest losers gave up $19. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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