Who is the smart money on “Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢). Volume $1.1k, liquidity $743. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$1.1k
Liquidity
$743

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 407 known shares

KimchiCapital
entry 1¢ · all-time +$41k · win 78%
GuyFromTinder
entry 18¢ · all-time −$100k · win 45%
aHjCzwhale
entry 2¢ · all-time +$1.1M · win 46%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $1.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day?

live

Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market clo… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes407100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$85k	$218k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$30k	$33k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 26% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 18% · November 19 18%	$29k	$27k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 48%	$24k	$143k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$93k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$13k	$58k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$13k	$53k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$80k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.3¢ask 1.9¢spread 1.6¢mid 1.1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

3330.3¢

1.9¢47

980.2¢

3¢122

1230.1¢

6¢54

12¢30

12¢54

36¢195

36¢25

36¢50

49¢40

59¢50

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
KimchiCapital	Yes	394	1¢	$2.82	$41k
sanduspace	Yes	181			$1k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	99			$193k
0x11b2a5	Yes	97			$331.37
LornaPredicts	Yes	50			$15k
kmlrewjlki12odsljkadjlksajkdl	Yes	40	19¢	$7.40	−$43.85
tradetosurvive1	Yes	20			−$220k
Dr.PNL	Yes	17			−$500k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	10	18¢	$1.80	−$100k
alamedamemola	Yes	8	1¢	$0.10	$252.31
0xa5ef39	No	925			$0

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
10Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?$404.29