Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $12k, liquidity $30k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$12k
Liquidity
$30k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 903 known shares

X10X10X10
entry — · all-time +$46k · win 50%
GingerMcKenna
entry — · all-time +$42k · win 52%
YouSayUpISayDown
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 40%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $12k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

live

Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by ma… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes903100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$93k	$196k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$31k	$23k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 47%	$29k	$72k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$49k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$77k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$113k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.5¢ask 0.6¢spread 0.1¢mid 0.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

100.5¢

0.6¢160

200.4¢

0.7¢2.3k

7640.3¢

0.8¢602

3.2k0.2¢

0.9¢200

26k0.1¢

1¢39

1.1¢150

1.2¢156

1.9¢50

3¢50

3.8¢140

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
sdfdsfffdgwe	Yes	2k	1¢	$11.45	−$3.43
e46m3	Yes	1k			$863k
blastimas	Yes	666	0¢	$2	−$2k
X10X10X10	Yes	635			$46k
cigarettes	Yes	590			−$71k
jozeslemsek	Yes	539			$3k
0x43cb…84df	Yes	461			$85k
testingjp	Yes	400	1¢	$1.89	−$174.90
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	290			$193k
akko123	Yes	286			$146.79
0xa5ef39	No	9k			$0
dcuidi55	No	148	100¢	$147.04	−$8.79

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948