No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 3¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
8 ranked wallets bought Yes at 3¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 8 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $713.85 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $564 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 73% · 5-6 22% · 9-10 1% | $510.70 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $388.36 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $352.55 |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 68% · 16-19 18% · <12 5% | $338.39 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | Yes 66% · No 34% | $306.40 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 79% · 120-139 13% · 180-199 5% | $281.03 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2k |
| 0x829598 | Yes | 1k |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1k |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| ocneooaindoiadn | Yes | 446 |
| 0x35c073 | Yes | 440 |
| VeRoN | Yes | 407 |
| 0x4018f2 | Yes | 247 |
| gregui | Yes | 188 |
| mixedklansmen | Yes | 149 |
| seconds-0 | No | 5 |
| apsdwzgwai | No | 1 |
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