What are the odds for “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?” on Polymarket?

No 91% · Yes 9%, on $340 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?

No 91% · Yes 9%. Volume $340, liquidity $395. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
91%
Yes
9%
Volume
$340
Liquidity
$395

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 60 known shares

0x28a665
entry 10¢ · all-time +$426 · win 49%

No

2 wallets · 139 known shares

0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABsharp
entry — · all-time +$22k · win 34%
chaosj88
entry — · all-time +$23k · win 83%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?” on Polymarket?: No 91% · Yes 9%, on $340 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?

live

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

91%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No13970%
Yes6030%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 32% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$115k	$173k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$35k	$38k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$29k	$73k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$26k	$45k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$76k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$12k	$36k
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes 62% · No 38%	$12k	$4k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 54% · Apple 44% · Alphabet 1%	$12k	$308k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6¢ask 12¢spread 6¢mid 9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

466¢

12¢101

154¢

58¢21

2533¢

59¢500

2052¢

89¢26

5391¢

90¢21

91¢625

95¢12

96¢20

98¢11

99¢839

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
bZk0Uo	Yes	70	86¢	$60.20	$8k
0x28a665	Yes	60	10¢	$6	$425.93
Bla-485	Yes	49	42¢	$41.65	$3k
romanew-7-spread05	Yes	21			$2k
Numitus1994	Yes	21			−$34k
chaosj89	Yes	20	86¢	$17.20	$305.31
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	14	86¢	$12.04	$2k
scotsban	Yes	10	13¢	$1.30	$2k
Alina-17	Yes	5	20¢	$1	$18.17
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB	No	104			$22k
LiuJeremy	No	102	91¢	$93.04	$3k
chaosj88	No	35			$23k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
4Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
5Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
6Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61
7Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$913.84
8Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$891.89
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948