No won. Volume $270k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
GingerMcKenna took +$1 on No from 100¢; the biggest loser gave up $23.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 31% · $1.5–$1.75T 31% · $1.75–$2.0T 17% | $239k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $62k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $53k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 89% · Anthropic 11% | $50k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $47k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $43k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $25k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| GingerMcKenna | No | $0.79 |
| jisid | No | $0.55 |
| 0x9318… | No | $0.55 |
| xuxiaoa | No | $0.55 |
| sileba | No | $0.54 |
| markdenes | Yes | −$23.44 |
| Zizoxx | Yes | −$10 |
| Jaydagoat242 | Yes | −$6 |
| tanchy | Yes | −$4.00 |
| golfs2005 | Yes | −$3.00 |
| 0x3a2b… | Yes | −$2 |
| xKralTR63 | Yes | −$1.69 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $3; the 20 biggest losers gave up $63. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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