Politics · Elections · live

Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $942, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$942
Liquidity
$17k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini?

live

Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.9%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k99%
No201%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

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Presidential Election Winner 2028	Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 14% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13%	$1.0M	$5.5M
Next French Presidential Election	Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%	$841k	$3.5M
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Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$39k	$4k
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes 33% · No 68%	$19k	$220k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	1k	$218k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	367	$173k
Numitus1994	Yes	101	−$37k
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	61	$21k
mustbethewater	Yes	50	$68k
Dr.PNL	Yes	50	−$503k
lolzzzlol	Yes	36	−$99k
lpgb	Yes	29	$312k
pppnn	Yes	19	−$81k
Haradwaith	Yes	18	−$429k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0
GuyFromTinder	No	20	−$102k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$119k
2Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$25k
3Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11k
4Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18k
5Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$10k
6Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9k
7Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9k
8Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$8k
9Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?$8k
10Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$7k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

9 wallets · 1,457 known shares

SnapElectionAvoiderwhale
entry — · all-time +$218k · win 55%
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.
entry — · all-time +$21k · win 53%
mustbethewaterwhale
entry — · all-time +$68k · win 55%
Dr.PNL
entry — · all-time −$503k · win 48%
lpgbwhale
entry — · all-time +$312k · win 40%
pppnn
entry 43¢ · all-time −$81k · win 46%

No

1 wallets · 20 known shares

GuyFromTinder
entry 84¢ · all-time −$102k · win 44%

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $942 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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