No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢). Volume $3.4k, liquidity $3.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.2M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $93k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 75% · 25 bps increase 18% · 25 bps decrease 3% | $88k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% | $76k |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 60% · 25 bps increase 32% · 25 bps decrease 5% | $47k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 64% · 1 (25 bps) 34% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $35k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 65% · Hike–Pause–Pause 32% | $18k |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 66% · Pause-Pause-Hike 16% · Pause-Pause-Pause 14% | $16k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 390 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 195 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 162 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 110 |
| chaosj89 | Yes | 107 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 83 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 55 |
| balthazar | Yes | 49 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 40 |
| 0xbd65…304f | Yes | 26 |
| commeowder | No | 1k |
| HDGB | No | 180 |
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