Who won the most on “Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?”?

Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · resolved

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?

Yes won. Volume $9.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Yes
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$9.4k
Closed
Sep 30, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

More Fed & Rates markets

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
No 65% · Yes 35% · 24h volume $4.3k
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?
Yes 81% · No 19% · 24h volume $3.6k

FAQ

Who won “Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?” on Polymarket?: Yes won; it closed Sep 30, 2026, on $9.4k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?

live

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September? · odds to the close

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Result

Market & odds history

100%

Yes · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Top Fed & Rates wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$141k	$2.0M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$22k	$754k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 72% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$21k	$139k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 90% · 25 bps decrease 10%	$10k	$30k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 38%	$10k	$10k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 94% · No change 7%	$9k	$6k
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$7k	$2k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 71% · No 29%	$6k	$210k

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$30k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
4Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
5Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05