Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $15k, liquidity $1.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$15k
Liquidity
$1.5k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 874 known shares

MFS-000
entry 10¢ · all-time +$3.2k · win 37%
lpgb
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 35%
SpringlyFawl
entry 95¢ · all-time +$30k · win 41%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 2¢ · all-time +$28k · win 50%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $15k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic r… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.7%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes874100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$175k	$2.0M
Fed Decision in January?	No change 72% · 25 bps increase 25% · 25 bps decrease 2%	$26k	$601k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 64% · 25 bps increase 37%	$20k	$19k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 70% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$18k	$111k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 71% · No 30%	$18k	$200k
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1%	$12k	$541k
Fed Decision in March?	25 bps increase 47% · No change 46% · 25 bps decrease 4%	$11k	$491k
Bank of England Decision in March?	No Change 62% · 25 bps decrease 14%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.3¢ask 0.4¢spread 0.1¢mid 0.4¢

SizeBid

AskSize

200.3¢

0.4¢46

2.0k0.2¢

0.5¢171

1.3k0.1¢

0.6¢20

0.7¢20

0.9¢5

1.7¢20

1.8¢80

2.6¢150

2.7¢60

2.9¢25

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Johnsansculotte	Yes	2k	6¢	$98.96	−$9k
LornaPredicts	Yes	1k			$15k
0x43cb…84df	Yes	1k			$83k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	872			$193k
MFS-000	Yes	818	10¢	$65.01	$3k
haouibao	Yes	640	2¢	$12.36	−$86.93
Specialist200303	Yes	283	2¢	$6.86	−$5.02
rafuchos	Yes	218	12¢	$26.11	$0.00
Haradwaith	Yes	212			−$421k
0xd0d90c	Yes	180	7¢	$13.18	$140.04
0xa5ef39	No	7k			$0
z13cc	No	1k	98¢	$1k	−$2k

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$13k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$646.80