No won. Volume $48k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 35% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 75% · 25 bps increase 18% · 25 bps decrease 4% | $88k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $88k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 2% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $79k |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 58% · 25 bps increase 32% · 25 bps decrease 5% | $46k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 65% · 1 (25 bps) 34% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $32k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 66% · Hike–Pause–Pause 31% | $17k |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 67% · Pause-Pause-Hike 18% · Pause-Pause-Pause 12% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Anon07 | No | $22.60 |
| 67sfds | Yes | $4.07 |
| Neu-Tron | Yes | −$18.81 |
| 0xb39e… | Yes | −$10.50 |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | −$6 |
| No-risk-no-bisc | Yes | −$5.00 |
| whumpa | Yes | −$2.00 |
| Davin728 | Yes | −$2 |
| 0xcaa6…fb26 | Yes | −$1.25 |
| 0x8dc4… | Yes | −$1.14 |
| themacblue | Yes | −$1.05 |
| facg662 | Yes | −$1.05 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $27; the 19 biggest losers gave up $57. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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