No won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 65¢) and won. Volume $392k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 73% · No change 26% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $665k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 86% · 25 bps decrease 14% | $35k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $19k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 70% · 25 bps increase 26% · 25 bps decrease 2% | $16k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 93% · No change 8% | $16k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 72% · Hike–Pause–Pause 25% | $14k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $12k |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| m33zy | No | $881.94 |
| sam52727482916 | No | $731.93 |
| merod | No | $504.09 |
| 0x40b5… | No | $480.13 |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu | No | $243.33 |
| Mysaria | No | $240.89 |
| vino1234 | No | $236.38 |
| 0x12f5… | No | $196.78 |
| chriszyy3 | No | $152.46 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $108.42 |
| EdgePunta | Yes | $102.57 |
| henos | No | $81.11 |
216 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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