Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?

No 72% · Yes 28%. Volume $1.4k, liquidity $718. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
72%
Yes
28%
Volume
$1.4k
Liquidity
$718

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

More Fed & Rates markets

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 71% · No 29% · 24h volume $5.7k
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
No 53% · Yes 48% · 24h volume $5.3k
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
No 88% · Yes 13% · 24h volume $4.8k
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
No 65% · Yes 35% · 24h volume $4.3k
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?
Yes 82% · No 18% · 24h volume $3.4k
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?
No 51% · Yes 49% · 24h volume $2.7k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 72% · Yes 28%, on $1.4k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?

live

Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overni… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

71.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$129k	$2.0M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$26k	$691k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 72% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$21k	$142k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 89% · 25 bps decrease 10%	$10k	$30k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 39%	$10k	$10k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 94% · No change 6%	$9k	$6k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?	25 bps increase 40% · 25 bps decrease 16%	$7k	$2k
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes 13% · No 88%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 27¢ask 30¢spread 3¢mid 29¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4027¢

30¢14

4615¢

31¢40

10014¢

33¢67

1713¢

35¢71

3012¢

36¢70

2110¢

37¢44

808¢

41¢45

54¢

42¢50

213¢

45¢50

282¢

49¢50

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	103	31¢	$24.34	$193k
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	65	26¢	$17.05	$2k
george-gm	Yes	51			$0.36
haouibao	Yes	45	30¢	$13.58	−$143.19
tradetosurvive1	Yes	39	56¢	$62.29	−$220k
0x8b75…ad43	Yes	20	33¢	$6.60	−$151.82
hfv	Yes	20			−$136k
BOOST250	Yes	14			−$2k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	14			−$99k
Lucerys	Yes	2			$290k
0xa5ef39	No	350			$0
Haradwaith	No	17			−$421k

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$30k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
4Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
5Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05