Yes 70% · No 31%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢). Volume $6.6k, liquidity $562. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 52% · 16-19 18% · <12 7% | $2k |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $519.29 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $388.36 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327.15 |
| How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? | <13 84% · 13 19% · 16+ 12% | $275 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $260.89 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $236 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $235.77 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Orion96 | Yes | 406 |
| 0xf5e4…471a | Yes | 229 |
| chartreuseverte | Yes | 170 |
| agentmumu | Yes | 161 |
| ironstorm | Yes | 126 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 63 |
| 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | 36 |
| 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | 36 |
| 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | 22 |
| marwan99 | Yes | 22 |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | No | 505 |
| 0x4e84ce | No | 332 |
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