No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Gavin Newsom 12% | $1.9M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.6M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 22% · Ron DeSantis 11% | $1.1M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 43% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $700k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 67% · Puma Shen 33% | $233k |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 75% | $55k |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $27k |
| Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Yes 67% · No 34% | $22k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Paeniscus | No | $101.22 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | $1.01 |
| 0x675a… | No | $0.78 |
| cowcat | Yes | −$30.13 |
| mylta | Yes | −$9.26 |
| 0x2100… | Yes | −$8.82 |
| rhinogiraffe | Yes | −$7.02 |
| 0x4857… | Yes | −$4.06 |
| GayPride | Yes | −$2.48 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | −$1.56 |
| 0x3adb… | Yes | −$0.66 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $103; the 8 biggest losers gave up $64. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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