Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $4.0k, liquidity $73k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$4.0k
Liquidity
$73k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the M… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes58100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$124k	$2.1M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$28k	$681k
Fed Decision in January?	No change 70% · 25 bps increase 25%	$18k	$204k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?	25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 16%	$14k	$9k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 73% · No 28%	$13k	$219k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 92% · No change 8%	$11k	$8k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 12%	$10k	$16k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$7k	$131k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1¢ask 1.2¢spread 0.2¢mid 1.1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

401¢

1.2¢134

3.3k0.9¢

1.7¢7

10k0.6¢

1.9¢204

450k0.5¢

2¢273

810k0.4¢

2.1¢230

1.4M0.3¢

3.6¢30

1.2M0.2¢

3.7¢50

1.2M0.1¢

4.1¢192

4.2¢100

4.4¢763

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
kod.cip	Yes	869	1¢	$13.44	−$9k
planktonXD	Yes	738	1¢	$0.23	$139k
0x553324	Yes	273	1¢	$2.68	$8k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	234	6¢	$12.95	$173k
5xxtuewiogvukhjt2623	Yes	230	0¢	$1.15	$8k
0xee6712	Yes	204	1¢	$2.04	$32k
whumpa	Yes	137	1¢	$0.96	−$9k
0xc9ec…b87b	Yes	112	4¢	$5	−$106.22
ra5tadark	Yes	81	1¢	$0.89	−$919.40
lpgb	Yes	53	20¢	$10.54	$244k
0xa5ef39	No	3k			$0

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$16k
2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
3Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
4Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$1k
5Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$311.96
6Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 58 known shares

lpgbwhale
entry 20¢ · all-time +$244k · win 40%
shiifoowhale
entry 96¢ · all-time +$60k · win 45%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $4.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $4.0k, liquidity $73k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$4.0k
Liquidity
$73k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?

live

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the M… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes58100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$124k	$2.1M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$28k	$681k
Fed Decision in January?	No change 70% · 25 bps increase 25%	$18k	$204k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?	25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 16%	$14k	$9k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 73% · No 28%	$13k	$219k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 92% · No change 8%	$11k	$8k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 12%	$10k	$16k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$7k	$131k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1¢ask 1.2¢spread 0.2¢mid 1.1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

401¢

1.2¢134

3.3k0.9¢

1.7¢7

10k0.6¢

1.9¢204

450k0.5¢

2¢273

810k0.4¢

2.1¢230

1.4M0.3¢

3.6¢30

1.2M0.2¢

3.7¢50

1.2M0.1¢

4.1¢192

4.2¢100

4.4¢763

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
kod.cip	Yes	869	1¢	$13.44	−$9k
planktonXD	Yes	738	1¢	$0.23	$139k
0x553324	Yes	273	1¢	$2.68	$8k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	234	6¢	$12.95	$173k
5xxtuewiogvukhjt2623	Yes	230	0¢	$1.15	$8k
0xee6712	Yes	204	1¢	$2.04	$32k
whumpa	Yes	137	1¢	$0.96	−$9k
0xc9ec…b87b	Yes	112	4¢	$5	−$106.22
ra5tadark	Yes	81	1¢	$0.89	−$919.40
lpgb	Yes	53	20¢	$10.54	$244k
0xa5ef39	No	3k			$0

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$16k
2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
3Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
4Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$1k
5Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$311.96
6Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 58 known shares

lpgbwhale
entry 20¢ · all-time +$244k · win 40%
shiifoowhale
entry 96¢ · all-time +$60k · win 45%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $4.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.