Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $68k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
areteforecast took +$178 on Yes from 53¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.1k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 65% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 45% · November 11 23% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| areteforecast | Yes | $178.35 |
| ghoan | Yes | $150.57 |
| treantprotecto | No | $138.70 |
| BrownBees | Yes | $115.87 |
| metametaman | Yes | $115.06 |
| Gk-itjjtt | Yes | $112.92 |
| noname- | Yes | $106.52 |
| makeit99 | Yes | $39.87 |
| 0x0c69… | Yes | $31.46 |
| moviesGrey86 | Yes | $26.25 |
| sqaolkytrpo | Yes | $26.13 |
| luckyborn | Yes | $25.39 |
141 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Tech & Science's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.