Who won the most on “Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?”?

0x1568… took $8.5k on Yes at an average entry of 39¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.7k on No. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · resolved

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?

Yes won. Volume $151k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Yes
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$151k
Closed
Jul 24, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Settled

Who won and who lost.

196 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $22k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $15k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.

Winners · Yes

P&L on this market

10x1568…
+$8.5k
$14k at 39¢ · all-time −$2.7k
20x383f…sharp
+$3.2k
$5.0k at 37¢ · all-time +$5.9k
3kl1v
+$2.7k

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

No

3 wallets · 1,819 known shares

mamboNB5sharp
entry — · all-time +$38k · win 70%
0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467
entry — · all-time +$8.4k · win 36%
piggyramen
entry 63¢ · all-time +$512 · win 46%

More AI markets

FAQ

Who won “Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?” on Polymarket?: Yes won; it closed Jul 24, 2026, on $151k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?”?: 0x1568… took $8.5k on Yes at an average entry of 39¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.7k on No. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.