Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $39k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 2% | $30k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 63% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bersa1202 | Yes | $986.83 |
| rewardbots | Yes | $982.31 |
| SuperTests | Yes | $524.59 |
| Justfuuun | Yes | $335.27 |
| dedidanc | Yes | $329.51 |
| totti82 | Yes | $324.44 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $320.12 |
| lamyk | Yes | $310.32 |
| 0x8df9… | Yes | $246.03 |
| ultra-poverty | Yes | $165.08 |
| molodoyy | Yes | $138.89 |
| 0x652b… | Yes | $119.33 |
145 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.