No 95% · Yes 5%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 92¢). Volume $48k, liquidity $52k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $14.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 24% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $868k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 41% | $479k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vibeshoals | Yes | 20k |
| resfeber | Yes | 2k |
| TheAmazingSentinel | Yes | 1k |
| HenriB | Yes | 1k |
| 0x6b25c5 | Yes | 695 |
| 0x4978…cd52 | Yes | 545 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 496 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 353 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 266 |
| johnashbough | Yes | 247 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 19k |
| Contestable-Parfait | No | 2k |
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