No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢). Volume $4.2k, liquidity $441. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 31% · Marco Rubio 21% · Ron DeSantis 11% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Josh Shapiro 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $986k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $823k |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $443k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $271k |
| Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? | Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 97% · Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds 3% | $57k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5? | Yes 97% · No 4% | $39k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 317 |
| 0xf27dc | Yes | 97 |
| probability | Yes | 68 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 40 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 37 |
| rrgtrtrgr | Yes | 36 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 35 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 20 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 15 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 735 |
| balthazar | No | 20 |
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