No 70% · Yes 30%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $15k, liquidity $678. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $896k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 28% | $841k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $499k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $484k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 937 |
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 575 |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 480 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 394 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 166 |
| 0x91c363 | Yes | 151 |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 127 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 115 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 111 |
| 0xd0d90c | Yes | 107 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 3k |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 150 |
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