What are the odds for “Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $7.6k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?”?

Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 96¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 96¢). Volume $7.6k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$7.6k
Liquidity
$14k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

3 wallets · 560 known shares

StraddleSellerwhale
entry 96¢ · all-time +$58k · win 68%
bernardbulletinwhale
entry — · all-time +$191k · win 70%
korda77whale
entry — · all-time +$210k · win 39%

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $7.6k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?”?: Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 96¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?

live

Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.3%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No560100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 26% · IA, KS 11% · IA 10%	$9.6M	$56.5M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21%	$1.8M	$1.2M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.8M	$14.2M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$928k	$9.3M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26%	$779k	$470k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$626k	$2.1M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$467k	$5.4M
Florida Governor Election Winner	Byron Donalds (R) 66% · David Jolly (D) 35%	$352k	$486k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 1.2¢spread 1¢mid 0.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1500.2¢

1.2¢156

890.1¢

1.9¢50

3¢50

4.3¢450

7.1¢217

10¢20

43¢30

43¢5

43¢250

49¢349

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
thecaricature	Yes	450	−$6k
0xb35a…c452	Yes	284	$3k
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	217	$23k
0xf03d…21fb	Yes	163	−$653.50
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	150	$1k
Biver52	Yes	120	$7k
EdolE	Yes	105	$233.96
0x11b2a5	Yes	100	$317.92
BSS37	Yes	100	$8k
Lavincey	Yes	76	$62k
0xa5ef39	No	1k	$0
StraddleSeller	No	537	$58k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$125k
2Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$135k
3Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$45k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$47k
5Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$23k
6Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$14k
7Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?$13k
8Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$21k
9Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$9k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k