Yes 99% · No 2%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 4¢). Volume $23k, liquidity $57k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 23% · IA, KS 11% · IA 11% | $6.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $879k |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 27% | $778k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $597k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $513k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Christine Lagarde 5% | $449k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 4k |
| probability | Yes | 1k |
| QMG-CORE | Yes | 435 |
| varch01 | Yes | 300 |
| Jpegpeddler | Yes | 229 |
| SitsToPee | Yes | 137 |
| OLOTH | Yes | 129 |
| LBZero | Yes | 65 |
| ubuntucheburashka | Yes | 60 |
| 28zebracavaliers | Yes | 60 |
| 0x122c…fbed | No | 2k |
| purplegatto | No | 1k |