Yes 95% · No 5%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 95¢). Volume $46k, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 19% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $744k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $573k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 27% | $507k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $487k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $484k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SAPolitcsSeer | Yes | 7k |
| danypotter | Yes | 4k |
| JerryFloyd | Yes | 4k |
| HilelTheElder | Yes | 3k |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 1k |
| FDTpuissance | Yes | 1k |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 961 |
| mslps | Yes | 413 |
| Robbb | Yes | 277 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 181 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 11k |
| ImJustKen | No | 7k |
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