No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢). Volume $26k, liquidity $2.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 59% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 5% | $36k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 70% · November 2–November 8 14% · November 16–November 22 12% | $33k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 58% · November 11 10% · November 12 9% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $14k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 80% · No 20% | $10k |
| Third-best AI Lab end of January? | Meta 27% · Google 25% · Anthropic 18% | $5k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $5k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 64% · November 9–November 15 8% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 2k |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 2k |
| molodoyy | Yes | 1k |
| domdomdomdom | Yes | 903 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 830 |
| donthackme | Yes | 814 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 803 |
| taerv534 | Yes | 768 |
| 0x3a9dad | Yes | 603 |
| 0xe432…934a | Yes | 584 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 13k |
| 0xdc83…bcd2 | No | 838 |
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