Yes 54% · No 46%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 19¢). Volume $1.9k, liquidity $394. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
2 ranked wallets bought Yes at 19¢. It’s 54¢ now — +184% on paper.
Track all 2 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 37% · No 64% | $878.20 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 73% · 5-6 21% · 9-10 1% | $510.70 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $491.64 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $397.64 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $388.36 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 78% · 120-139 18% · 180-199 5% | $306.92 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes 65% · No 36% | $270.21 |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 71% · 16-19 18% · <12 4% | $262.93 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 181 |
| 58o | Yes | 102 |
| 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | 40 |
| 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | 38 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| GonTanaka | Yes | 20 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 1 |
| leantiger | Yes | 0 |
| JsonStatham | Yes | 0 |
| 0xe4a57f | No | 158 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 41 |
| Carabao | No | 40 |
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